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Monday, September 22, 2008

Stores Plan for Weak Holiday Sales


Retailers Respond to Shaky Economy With Earlier Ads, Fewer Seasonal Workers

As economists predict the worst holiday sales season since the recession of 1991, retailers are fighting back with an arsenal of new selling strategies, staff cutbacks and more emphasis than ever on low prices.

Retailers are planning bigger, bolder and earlier ad campaigns to lure shoppers as early as possible, racing to make the most of the shorter holiday season this year-five fewer days between Thanksgiving and Christmas than in 2007. Some chains, including Macy's Inc. and Costco Wholesale Inc. already have put out holiday merchandise.

Stores are expected to hire fewer part-time staffers during the holidays, to control labor costs. Gift cards will be fancier, and companies, such as Target Corp. say they'll be emphasizing affordability with a range of gifts under $25. . . . more

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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Macy’s Refutes Store Closing-Plan Rumors


CINCINNATI-Contrary to the grapevine, Macy’s does not expect any major change in store closing plans next year, the management said at its second-quarter conference call.

In the quarter, the company opened a new Macy's in Houston. The company also will add FAO Schwarz toyshops in up to 275 Macy’s stores in the fall.

“From time to time, there’s been a rumor that we’re going to close a large number of stores. I don’t see that happening,” said Karen M. Hoguet, executive vice president and CFO. “But as we do every year, we will close poor-performing stores. But I don’t expect any extraordinary store closing announcement.”

The bankruptcy of such chains as Mervyn’s, Goody’s and Boscov’s will not mean a major boost to sales.

“It can’t be bad for us, but we don’t see a big opportunity coming from that,” Hoguet said.

Sales in the second quarter totaled $5.7 billion, down 3% from the same period last year. Same-store sales declined 2.1%. Net income was $73 million, down from $74 million last year.

Macy's operates 850 department stores in 45 states, the District of Columbia, Guam and Puerto Rico under the Macy's and Bloomingdale's names.

Source: GlobeSt.

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Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Retailers' 2Q results may not be as bad as thought


Amid the pile of downbeat sales reports for July from retailers, there was a sliver of hope: Second-quarter profits may not be as bad as expected when merchants such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Macy's Inc. and J.C. Penney Co. post their results starting this week.

Several companies, from Gap Inc. and Penney to teen retailer Hot Topic Inc., raised their outlooks last week — with help from strict inventory controls and slashing expenses — even as they reported sales declines in July at established stores.

Still, retailers overall are expected to report a fifth consecutive drop in quarterly earnings, according to Ken Perkins, president of research company RetailMetrics LLC. Worries abound about how merchants will stem the erosion of their profits as they confront what could be a deeper spending funk in the critical months ahead.

Among the hardest hit have been clothing stores, which have seen a sales slump worsen in recent months as shoppers buy only what they need. Analysts will be looking for any clues from the earnings reports on when the apparel sector will see a recovery.

The challenge becomes, "how do we drive traffic in a really slow environment?" says Perkins. He expects that his estimate for a 5.7 percent decline in second-quarter profits from a year ago may now be a bit too harsh amid the better outlook many merchants have given. Still, with the economic uncertainty and the cost pressures retailers are facing, he said it's hard to "nail down" a figure.

Nevertheless, the back-to-school season "doesn't look promising," said Michael Appel, a managing director of Quest Turnaround Advisors.

With the benefits of the federal stimulus checks dried up, retailers face even bigger challenges as they try to get shoppers to splurge on skinny jeans and fancy backpacks for their children. Consumers already struggling with high food and gas bills and increasing layoffs are less confident in the economy. And while oil prices have receded a bit, paychecks are not keeping up with overall inflationary pressures on basics.

The reports for July on same-store sales, or those at stores open a least a year, underscored Americans' growing financial strain as shoppers focused even more on buying necessities like detergent and avoided mall-based clothing stores.

Such frugality is creating a wider disparity between low-price operators like Wal-Mart and mall-based chains and department stores. Disappointments in the apparel sector cut across all types of chains from teen retailer Abercrombie & Fitch Co. to department stores such as Penney and Kohl's Corp.

Merchants can't even depend as much on international sales to offset weaker U.S. business as markets in Spain and other European countries are softening as they get dragged down by the slowing U.S. economy.

Analysts will be closely watching Wal-Mart, which has been a beneficiary of the slowing economy but did feel some pain in July. It announced that same-store sales for the month were below analysts' consensus estimates and also predicted slower growth in August. The discounter, considered a barometer of consumers' financial well-being, said that its customers are increasingly unable to stretch their paychecks to the next payday.

That cautious tone caused Mark Miller, an analyst at William Blair & Co., to downgrade shares of Wal-Mart to "market perform" from "outperform" based on expectations for slower sales and profit growth in the second half. In a note to investors, he said that Wal-Mart's July sales performance was a "material deceleration" from the previous two months. Still, he believes the company is on track to meet or exceed Wall Street's current expectations for second-quarter earnings of 84 cents per share when it reports results on Thursday.

Macy's, which no longer reports monthly same-store sales, is expected to post earnings of 19 cents per share when it reports second-quarter results Wednesday, according to Wall Street consensus estimates. Appel said he will be looking for updates on how the company's new efforts to better tailor its merchandise to local areas are faring and whether business has improved at the May Co. stores now converted to Macy's.

Meanwhile, TJX Cos., which sells name-brand labels at a discount, has benefited from shoppers looking for cheaper alternatives than the mall. The company, which is set to report results Tuesday, raised its earnings outlook last Thursday even after reporting that same-store sales fell a bit short of Wall Street estimates.

Source: International Herald Tribune

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Monday, July 14, 2008

Macy's "financially healthy," says chief executive


SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Macy's Inc (M.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) is "financially healthy" in spite of the declining value of its share price, Chief Executive Terry Lundgren wrote in a letter to executives on Friday.

Lundgren said that Macy's sales at stores open at least a year were down 1.9 percent for the first two months, May and June, of the company's fiscal second quarter. The department store chain was taking market share from competitors "in this challenging economic environment," he said.

The letter, obtained by Reuters, was to be filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, a spokesman for Macy's said.

Reuters

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Thursday, July 10, 2008

Retailers already have back-to-school sales on their minds


Summer has barely begun, but retailers are already focusing on back-to-school sales, which are expected to be especially critical this year as consumers rein in spending.

The back-to-school season is the industry's second-biggest selling period after Christmas. And as new fall merchandise starts to arrive in stores this week, competition is expected to be fiercest in the middle market, among chains such as Kohl's Corp., J.C. Penney Co. and Macy's Inc.

Many of their clients, squeezed by high gasoline prices and the weak economy, are turning to discounters like Wal-Mart Stores Inc., with whom the chains can't compete on price. Instead, they rely heavily on unique merchandise and attention-grabbing marketing to attract consumers.

They could face an uphill battle. Sales of back-to-school and college merchandise between July 4 and Labor Day are expected to be flat to slightly lower this year, following a year-earlier increase of 21 percent to $65.7 billion. Some industry research suggests consumers may minimize apparel purchases this year in favor of necessities like textbooks and computers.

Nor is there a clear must-have electronic gadget likely to nudge parents or teens to splurge, says Kathy Grannis, a spokeswoman for the National Retail Federation. That's a switch from the past two years, when gear like cellphones and MP3 players gave back-to-school sales a major boost.

Kohl's hopes to drum up interest by kicking off what it calls its biggest back-to-school campaign ever next week, a week earlier than usual. This month, it will launch an exclusive line of girls' apparel and accessories by singer Avril Lavigne.

The chain's ads will feature celebrities ranging from Lenny Kravitz to teen actress Hayden Panettiere, who recall favorite fashion moments. Kohl's is soliciting similar videos from young shoppers through a contest on social-networking site Facebook.

J.C. Penney is launching five exclusive or private-label brands for back-to-school this month, the largest number it has ever launched simultaneously. "It's a huge time of the year for us, and we're spending against it," says Mike Boylson, Penney's chief marketing officer.

The new lines include Fabulosity apparel and accessories, designed by former model Kimora Lee Simmons, and Dorm Life, a line of home furnishings aimed at college students. To promote the lines, Penney created an online game called "DorkDodge," in which a girl has to navigate a thicket of undesirable boys to get her dream guy. It also plans to air a 60-second spot in theaters recreating scenes from the 1985 teen film "The Breakfast Club," which is having a resurgence.

Macy's is also targeting young shoppers. Next month, it begins filming a documentary that follows five young adults as they roadtrip across the U.S., visiting 12 cities and meeting musicians and music producers -- all while wearing clothing by Macy's American Rag label. The 10-episode show, titled "Ragged Road," will begin airing on YouTube.com in September. It will feature live video blogs.

Source: Daily Herald

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Friday, May 16, 2008

Macy's signs deal to put FAO Schwarz in its stores


FAO Schwarz will open toy stores in close to 700 Macy's department stores over the next two years.

The companies said Friday that about 75 full-size FAO toy stores will open across the country in the fall, along with about 200 smaller shops that will be up to 300 square feet.

There will be 685 toy stores opened in Macy's over the next two years.

The 146 year-old FAO Schwarz will sell its own private label collection at Macy's stores.

FAO Schwarz continues to independently own and operate its own stores, including the Fifth Avenue Flagship store in New York.

Source: San Mateo Daily News

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Monday, April 21, 2008

Reversing Field, Macy's Goes Local


The sprawling Macy's on State Street building here was once the home to the premier name in Chicago retailing, Marshall Field's. But about a year and a half ago, Macy's forged one chain with one name and one much-ballyhooed national strategy out of Marshall Field's, Robinsons-May, Kaufmann's and other local icons it owned across the country.

Now, after Macy Inc.'s same-store sales dropped 1.3% in 2007 from the previous year, Chief Executive Officer Terry Lundgren is changing course. He is ditching the nationwide cookie-cutter approach in favor of tailoring merchandise at the world's largest department-store chain by sales to local tastes.

"What the consumer wants in the Galleria of St. Louis is different from what the consumer wants in State Street Chicago, or what the consumer wants in Portland, Oregon," Mr. Lundgren says. He now wants 15% of the merchandise in stores to reflect local preferences.

Manager Linda Piepho, left, wants to tailor her Chicago Macy's makeup inventory to local patrons' tastes.

Over the next several months, Macy's on State Street will begin stocking more brightly colored clothes and men's all-white suits that store manager Linda Piepho noticed were favored by her store's urban clientele. In cosmetics, she's also planning to add greater variety of makeup shades to attract trendier shoppers, while adding larger 3.4-oz. bottles of perfume to go after the thriftier ones.

The localization strategy, called "My Macy's," is a dramatic reversal for Macy's and Mr. Lundgren, who set out to end the decades-long slide of department-store retailers by creating a huge national chain that had more clout with vendors and stronger marketing, with fewer expensive local TV and print ads and more national ones. After purchasing rival May Department Stores in 2005 for $11.5 billion, Mr. Lundgren dropped 11 venerable names to create a cohesive national identity of more than 800 stores under the Macy's nameplate.

In some ways the plan worked -- Macy's was able to woo lifestyle maven Martha Stewart to create a line of products exclusively for the chain because of its immense reach -- but pressures on Mr. Lundgren are growing as the economic slowdown worsens. In his annual shareholder letter, sent Thursday, he said 2007 results were "softer than we had originally anticipated" due to a weaker economy but added that Macy's "outperformed most of its primary competitors in the crucial fourth quarter." Last year, Mr. Lundgren received $1.49 million in salary as part of his $8.67 million in total compensation, but no bonus because Macy's didn't meet the bonus plan's performance thresholds.

The company's $9 billion debt rose by about $1.2 billion in 2007 -- partly because it borrowed heavily to finance $3.3 billion in share repurchases. Last week, Fitch Ratings downgraded the credit rating of Macy's Inc. to a notch above junk status, noting that the reorganization at Macy's follows previous investments in its stores acquired from May Co. and merchandising that hasn't resulted in meaningful sales growth.

In going local, Macy's is adopting an approach that big chains like Best Buy Co. and Ross Stores Inc. have come to view as imperative today. Retail giants like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Gap Inc. once prospered by opening identical stores around the country, but consumers are demanding more individualized selections. With almost everything now available on the Internet, retailers need to give shoppers a reason to make the trip.

Best Buy began customizing the format, selection and service at its 600 U.S. stores four years ago, rather than pushing a uniform mix of merchandise. The electronics chain, which has since grown to 935 U.S. stores, began by identifying four customer types, such as upscale suburban mom or urban trendsetter. Best Buy then determined store by store which customers were most important. Ross, a discount-apparel chain, intends to begin tailoring 15% of the merchandise categories in each of its more than 900 stores, starting this fall.

Department stores like Macy's also face increasing competition from fast-fashion retailers, such as Swedish clothier Hennes & Mauritz AB, known as H&M, and Inditex SA's Zara in the U.S., which track precisely what is selling in each store, down to the size, and stock them accordingly.
A localization strategy can boost sales at stores open at least a year by 1 to 3 percentage points -- and just 10% to 15% of inventory needs to be customized to get as much as 90% of the benefit, says Darrell Rigby, a Bain & Co. partner.

But Macy's sheer size will undoubtedly complicate its effort. Mr. Lundgren himself acknowledges that it's far easier for a chain of 40 stores, like Macy's own sister division, Bloomingdale's, to understand and respond to local tastes than it is for one the size of Macy's. While Bloomingdale's executives at headquarters "have a clear understanding of what is going on in each store," he says the Macy's empire is so large that management needed "to make sure we were in tune to what it was that the consumer was expecting of us -- the product category, the size or the color."

Still, Mr. Lundgren's plan calls for customizing inventory over the next year at only about a third of the chain's 813 Macy's stores -- including all the former Marshall Field's and many other former May Co. stores. Locations in markets such as Seattle, Minneapolis, Chicago, Portland and Salt Lake City will be among the first to get a makeover.

Most department stores, of course, have always localized a bit -- shipping spring merchandise earlier to stores in the South, for example. But the overhaul Mr. Lundgren is planning will be much more far-reaching. A single Macy's store, depending on its size, stocks 1.5 million to 4 million different items, meaning hundreds of thousands of items in each store will be affected when the new inventory begins going on display as soon as this summer.

The idea is "to allow us to listen to what the customer says about a local product in a local store," says Mr. Lundgren, once the CEO of Neiman Marcus Group Inc. Management behind the scenes will also be revamped to have 13 executives oversee the merchandise assortments at 10 stores each, instead of 7 executives overseeing assortments in up to 23 stores.

One risk for Macy's is that store managers may misread cues about local sales patterns or make poor decisions about how to display and market merchandise, says Sherif Mityas, partner at consulting firm A.T. Kearney.

And some say Mr. Lundgren erred, alienating loyal customers he may never be able to get back, by getting rid of the local names in the first place. "What you have now is a Macy's whose brand doesn't mean much to people in Pittsburgh, or on State Street in Chicago," says Craig Johnson, president of Customer Growth Partners, a New Canaan, Conn., retail-consulting firm.

But Mr. Lundgren says those stores were performing poorly for years under their old names, and he still believes that converting them to Macy's, one of the most powerful brands in the U.S., will result in higher overall sales for Macy's Inc.

Susan D. Kronick, a Macy's vice chair who is responsible for its department-store divisions, sees a big advantage in having managers spend more time on the sales floor. "If you live on the sales floor, you know" the opportunities "because you are talking to customers and you are talking to the sales associates," she says.

One of the best cues, she adds, is the markdown rack: In some stores there are lots of small sizes on the rack, while in others there are lots of large sizes. For example, Ms. Piepho, the manager of the State Street store, wants to add more small sizes in contemporary women's lines, as well as young men's wear. She says that's because many of the city dwellers her store caters to are physically fit -- an observation backed up by the sales figures that show slimmer sizes in those categories sell best there.

"Chicagoans want newness and Chicago brands," she adds.

Macy's has already invested heavily in this location, where angry locals protested the disappearance of the iconic Marshall Field's name. In an effort to lure Chicago shoppers, it now sells local designers, such as Kirsten Goede who makes crystal jewelry and Greg Shugar who makes extra-long ties. Last fall, it even designated three mannequins, which it calls "The Girls," to appear dressed in trendy outfits at local museums and other spots around town, as well as in local newspaper ads.

A spokesman for Macy's declined to comment on the store's performance, though he noted that those changes, as well as the recent addition of valet parking there, "have been well-received by customers."

Source: The Wall Street Journal

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Thursday, April 10, 2008

Moody's May Downgrade Macy's Ratings


Moody's Investors Service said Friday it may downgrade the investment-grade ratings on department store operator Macy's Inc. because of weak credit metrics.

The ratings under review include the senior unsecured debt rating of "Baa2." A "Baa2" rating is two notches above junk status.

If a downgrade were to occur, Moody's said it would likely be limited to one notch.

The review will focus on the Cincinnati-based company's prospective operating performance, liquidity and ability to improve its credit metrics, Moody's said. The ratings service is concerned that a slowdown in consumer spending could prevent Macy's from maintaining credit metrics consistent with its current ratings.

Source: Portfolio.com

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Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Now a Goliath, Macy's Seeks Localized Focus


NEW YORK (AdAge.com) -- Peter Sachse, like many marketers before him, is doing a tricky balancing act: trying to find the perfect mix of national and local.

Some 18 months after it reinvented itself as the country's largest department-store chain by aligning all its brands under one nameplate, Macy's chief marketing officer is seeking to balance its one-size-fits-all, star-studded national TV campaign with locally tailored products and promotions.

Mr. Sachse, who regained the marketing helm by adding chairman-CEO of Macys.com to his duties following the departure of Anne MacDonald last June, is overseeing the implementation a localization initiative, "My Macy's," that seeks to increase sales by adapting merchandise and marketing based on area preferences. Shifts in merchandise will be evident beginning in the second half of this year, while changes in marketing will follow that, Mr. Sachse said during an interview at his New York office.

From a marketing perspective, the program will ensure that advertising closely reflects local trends. Coats will be marketed more heavily in Minneapolis than they would be in Miami, for example. The initiative also seeks to embed Macy's in the local community. When the high school prom is approaching, Macy's could run a prom ad, Mr. Sachse said. And when the local cheerleading squad wins a competition, Macy's could run an ad congratulating them.

The program, announced last month, could assuage criticisms from customers of the former May Co. stores that Macy's didn't understand their needs. "We want to be locally relevant," Mr. Sachse said.

Following the papers
And for those who would say that represents a sea change from the national message the retailer touted in 2006, Mr. Sachse said there will be "very little" impact on the media mix. He said that newspapers and radio would be the media of choice to convey local messages but added: "We have always believed that newspapers are a very viable part of our media mix. The question has become... are they as big a part of the media mix as they have been in the past?"

The retailer's spending on local newspapers, magazines and radio has dropped 25% since 2005 to $599.4 million, according to TNS Media Intelligence. Macy's total measured-media spending for 2007 was down 7% to $1.02 billion.

This week Macy's breaks the latest round of its celebrity commercials with two spots featuring Carlos Santana, Mariah Carey, Gabriel Aubry, Donald Trump and Martha Stewart. A Spanish-language version of one of the spots began airing March 23. WPP Group's JWT, New York, handled the creative, while sibling Mediaedge:cia developed the media campaign, which runs through May.

The series, which launched last fall, has driven sales and informed consumers, said Mr. Sachse. He noted that businesses featured in the spots have exceeded sales expectations and have ranked among the store's top performers in the wake of the commercials.

Differences of opinion
The retailer's desire to embrace a more promotional strategy was the reason many cited for the departures of Ms. MacDonald and Exec VP-Marketing Brad Jakeman last year. Mr. Sachse declined to comment specifically on those departures said that it is important to equalize the two approaches.

Mr. Sachse said the retailer's promotional plans for this year are similar to last year's, although he said that could change. "The economy is not robust, as we all know today," he said. "But we have to ring the cash register every day, and we have to build a long-term relationship with the customer."

Looking ahead, Macy's is prepping a multimedia green-marketing campaign that will launch around Earth Day, at the end of April. It will promote organic merchandise and its reusable shopping bag and will also dispense tips for being environmentally friendly.

Source: Advertising Age

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